Us Foods Holding Stock Performance

USFD Stock  USD 84.26  0.64  0.77%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, US Foods holds a performance score of 10. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, US Foods' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding US Foods is expected to be smaller as well. Please check US Foods' value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether US Foods' current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Foods Holding are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak technical and fundamental indicators, US Foods exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.76)
Five Day Return
3.22
Year To Date Return
12.03
Ten Year Return
235.69
All Time Return
235.69
1
Disposition of 33468 shares by Steven Guberman of US Foods at 30. subject to Rule 16b-3
11/11/2025
2
100 Invested In US Foods Holdings 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
11/20/2025
3
Acquisition by AnnMarie Lobred of tradable shares of US Foods at 65.89 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
4
US Foods Valuation Check After 14 percent Year-to-Date Share Price Gain
12/03/2025
5
Is Reaffirmed 2025 Growth Guidance Reframing US Foods Operational Credibility and Risk Profile
01/13/2026
6
US Foods Updates FY 2025 Earnings Guidance
01/14/2026
7
US Foods Is Up 5.3 percent After Reaffirmed Outlook And New 198M Defense Contract - Whats Changed - simplywall.st
01/20/2026
8
US Foods to Host Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast
01/22/2026
9
Savoir Faire Capital Management L.P. Has 7.31 Million Position in US Foods Holding Corp. USFD
01/26/2026
10
Mutual of America Capital Management LLC Sells 11,060 Shares of US Foods Holding Corp. USFD
01/28/2026
11
Is It Too Late To Consider US Foods Holding After Its Strong MultiYear Rally
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow269 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-552 M

US Foods Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,370  in US Foods Holding on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,056  from holding US Foods Holding or generate 14.33% return on investment over 90 days. US Foods Holding is currently generating 0.2319% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.8008% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than USFD, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Foods is expected to generate 2.43 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

US Foods Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of USFD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 84.26 90 days 84.26 
about 1.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Foods to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.87 (This US Foods Holding probability density function shows the probability of USFD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Foods has a beta of 0.22. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, US Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding US Foods Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally US Foods Holding has an alpha of 0.1882, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   US Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for US Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Foods Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.3484.1485.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.8389.5791.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.0081.8083.60
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.3891.62101.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as US Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against US Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, US Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US Foods Holding.

US Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Foods Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
3.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

US Foods Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of US Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US Foods Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
US Foods Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Too Late To Consider US Foods Holding After Its Strong MultiYear Rally

US Foods Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USFD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential US Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding244 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59 M

US Foods Fundamentals Growth

USFD Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of US Foods, and US Foods fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on USFD Stock performance.

About US Foods Performance

By analyzing US Foods' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into US Foods' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if US Foods has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if US Foods has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 22.81  24.42 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.05 

Things to note about US Foods Holding performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about US Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for US Foods Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
US Foods Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Too Late To Consider US Foods Holding After Its Strong MultiYear Rally
Evaluating US Foods' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate US Foods' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing US Foods' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether US Foods' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining US Foods' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating US Foods' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of US Foods' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of US Foods' stock. These opinions can provide insight into US Foods' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating US Foods' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact US Foods' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running US Foods' price analysis, check to measure US Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Foods is operating at the current time. Most of US Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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